Five Stocks Set to Win in Trump's New Bull Market

Looks like "Donald Pump" is back...

The S&P 500 is now up 20% from its April 7th low—which means we’re technically in a new bull market. And we have one man to thank: Donald Trump.

Or should I say… Donald Pump?

Everyone has their own take on what just happened. My view? The bond market revolt and stock market crash forced Trump to back off his tariff plans. Others say it was all part of the “Art of the Deal.”

Honestly, the truth doesn’t really matter for our purposes. We’re here to make money. And it’s clear Trump wants markets up. Despite all the tough talk leading up to Liberation Day, when the stock market tanked, he eased off the gas. He saw the market as a scoreboard—and when that scoreboard said he was losing, he pivoted.

Thanks to the moves we made in April during the crash, we’re in a strong spot. In fact, the TikStocks Portfolio is just a hair off all-time highs, despite all the chaos.

That said, based on the latest data—we’re making some portfolio changes today.

The Lay of the Land

Now I'm not saying there aren't any longstanding effects from Liberation Day.

Long-term US government bond yields are rising. And the 30-year bond - which is tightly correlated to the US real estate market - is at its highest level in 18 years. This will further blow out US government debt as interest payments balloon. And on the consumer side, it will make it more expensive for individuals to buy homes.

Effective tariffs still highest in a century and likely coming down further as negotiations continue, which could fall within a range where supplier price cuts and corporate profit compression could absorb most of the cuts.

Still a huge tax increase, but a lot of this will be born by foreigners over time. That said, the weaker US dollar relative to foreign currencies will ease the burden of tariffs both domestically and internationally:

And while there was a lot of lip service paid to cutting government spending via Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), the latest tax bill shows that was mostly political theater. In fact, the Republican bill proposed this week would raise the deficit by $4 trillion.

As we expected coming into 2025, the US government spending gravy train isn't stopping any time soon and any fiscal austerity is shelved for now. And as we said during the Liberation Day crash, Trump was on a "shot clock" and could not let the tariff chaos go on indefinitely if he wanted to pass the rest of his agenda. Not to mention the "stimulus wave" we discussed a few weeks back is looking even more likely.

With that in mind, we need to make some adjustments to the TikStocks Portfolio.

Let's Deploy Some More Cash Today

Have I gotten everything right over the last few months? Hardly. But let he who is without a Trump market forecasting mistake cast the first stone.